Early Poll Shows Asa Ahead
By Mark Moore (click "Comments" below for article)
posted by Mark Moore (Moderator) at Monday, October 03, 2005
Monday, October 03, 2005
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Arkansas Watch
6 Comments:
Asa Hutchinson's gubernatorial campaign is touting a new Wall Street Journal/Zogby poll that shows Hutchinson ahead of Mike Beebe by a five-point margin, 46.2-41.2 percent. (The margin of error is +/-4.4 percent.)
At a time when Republicans are about as unpopular as you can be, Asa still leads Beebe by 5 points. It's looking good.
I don't think Democrats are very popular either. Bebee has run an error-prone and unimpressive campaign so far. It also does not hurt that there are a couple of blogs like ArkFam and ArkTruth, that pound him relentlessly.
The poll is decieving....if you notice, Asa lost 10 points since the last poll Zogby did. That means that right as Beebe started his campaign, he gained traction. This is not a race where Asa is the frontrunner. As people get to know Mike Beebe and his life story, as with all of us running, then the numbers will significantly change.
Polls are snapshots in history. Don't forget this same outfit had Hillary Clinton down 10 points at this point and John Kerry winning comfortably.
When I look to who will win I take in consideration the issue of abortion first. Most folks that poll on Zogby cant even spell Asa.
I was one of those who took the Zogby Poll! Glad ASA is leading.
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